Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.479694 0.562098 0.652288 0.758045 0.878360 1.010678 1.166894
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.358979 0.470499 0.604356 0.775585 0.987394 1.239304 1.559921
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.276314 0.399344 0.559210 0.779194 1.070615 1.439630 1.937806
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.210113 0.332146 0.502509 0.752586 1.104161 1.573743 2.239749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.177550 0.303186 0.489611 0.778427 1.204747 1.799223 2.676153
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.151089 0.277177 0.475050 0.796916 1.293094 2.011667 3.108460
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.136347 0.266458 0.480876 0.844591 1.426333 2.296013 3.661657
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.114919 0.239978 0.456801 0.840739 1.478162 2.461879 4.050721
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.096281 0.214657 0.430323 0.828356 1.513070 2.601932 4.407501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.081662 0.193945 0.408439 0.820084 1.552072 2.748812 4.781746
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072581 0.182520 0.401637 0.836949 1.633818 2.968356 5.283035
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064168 0.170795 0.392377 0.847664 1.704761 3.173599 5.772129
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055929 0.158065 0.379790 0.851512 1.765384 3.368599 6.262107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049611 0.148549 0.372469 0.864779 1.844453 3.600833 6.829751
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043268 0.137550 0.360254 0.866503 1.901463 3.797641 7.347959
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035753 0.121639 0.334476 0.836527 1.893764 3.877078 7.664906
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032834 0.117678 0.335721 0.864544 2.002999 4.176323 8.388008
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029797 0.112649 0.333598 0.884680 2.097509 4.453388 9.085186
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028640 0.113078 0.345075 0.936814 2.262148 4.872154 10.062189
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025022 0.104796 0.332960 0.932585 2.307149 5.063563 10.627090
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021525 0.095917 0.317768 0.919030 2.330466 5.213342 11.120483
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018678 0.088446 0.305117 0.909976 2.362360 5.381008 11.654906
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017063 0.085057 0.303496 0.928430 2.457230 5.680334 12.457240